So Troy Tulowitzki’s much anticipated return to his previous home of 10 years was an eventful one. His new team, the Toronto Blue Jays won the series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1, but it was a series of ups and downs. Tulo got a standing ovation his first at bat and he took the time to raise his helmet to all his fans. For him, the bitterness of getting dumped unceremoniously from the team that he thought he was going to start and end his career with, had stuck with him for the past 12 months. He knew it was going to be a long 3 days of staring at his old team in the opposing dugout, staring at his old managers and coaches.
He started 0-5 in his first at bats but then blasted a solo homerun to start a 6-run inning, and that my friends is what they call closure. His new team got whipped game 1 but won the next 2 to close out the series.
A 4-game series at home against the team from which the Blue Jays got their new President/CEO and GM, the Cleveland Indians.
THE RUBBER MATCH
Dickey (5-8, ERA 4.23) vs. Carrasco (3-2, ERA 2.73)
Stroman (6-4, 5.23) vs. Tomlin (9-1, 3.32)
Estrada (5-3, 2.81) vs. Bauer (6-2, 3.19)
Happ (9-3, 3.70) vs. Kluber (8-7, 3.50)
Unfortunately tough match ups this weekend. Based on recent play, the pitching matchup is in Cleveland’s favour, so we will need the offensive bats to be at their best!
Ok, there are only 99 games left to go and how are the Blue Jays doing? Well, most would say compared to last year’s Jays, they haven’t hit their stride. There have been glimpses of brilliance this year, but for the most part, we’ve witnessed enough meltdowns that there is no lead big enough that instills enough confidence in us to relax.
The Jays had a good run of winning 5 series in a row that included the Yankees and Bosox. But lost their series to Detroit with a couple of ugly ones. So far this current series with the division leading Baltimore Orioles, they are split 1-1. The Jays won last night with a walk-off home run in the 10th inning off the bat of Edwin Encarnacion. Normally I would say great! But I attribute this one to luck. EE had gone 0-for-19 before that at bat, and he pretty much just swung as hard as he could and he got it over the opposite field wall. The Jays couldn’t ‘manufacture’ a run. I think they just got lucky off a relief pitcher who had only given up 1 other home run this season. That to me says that we can’t yet expect that to happen often.
The highlight was that the bullpen including Chavez, Osuna, and Storen didn’t give up any runs.
So how are the Jays doing compared to 2015?
After 63 games, the Jays record is 33-30. After 63 games in 2015, 33-30!
Ok, doesn’t seem so bad, but big changes came at the trade deadline bringing in Troy Tulowitzki, David Price, Ben Revere, and LaTroy Hawkins. A big boost like that is not expected this year.
The split for 1-run games so far is 7-12 (.368). In 2015, 15-28 (.349).
A lot has been said about how poorly the Jays have done in 1-run games. But it seems like it’s pretty how it was last year, if not slightly better.
How did the Jays do by month in 2015?
Wining percentage 2015:
So far in 2016, Apr .440, May .586. So in fact, May this year was better than last year. Maybe June will be better like 2015.
How is the hitting compared to 2015 and is there hope for improvement?
I think it’s hard to compare because there has been some shuffling in some positions, but clearly the team as a whole has not been hitting as well as last year. Let’s look at the players who played full-time both years and see who’s got room for improvement.
If looking at batting average, on base percentage, and on base plus slugging…
Josh Donaldson is clearly not his MVP calibre self, but this year’s numbers are not that much different from 2014 so he might not repeat his 2013 and 2015 performances.
Kevin Pillar probably isn’t too far off his potential looking at his career performance so although not performing as well as last year, may not be expected to get much better over the year.
Russell Martin is below his previous 2 years with the Jays, so he is the one guy clearly hitting under his potential and who will hopefully continue to move back towards his usual level of hitting.
Edwin Encarnacion has also not yet hit his stride. He’s traditionally been a slow starter so he should get to where he’s been and we should see continued improvement.
Justin Smoak on the upside has been better than 2015 having the opportunity to play every day.
So is there hope for the offense? We could see a dramatic improvement in the hitting. We need 1) Martin and Encarnacion to get back to where they’ve been on average. We’d also like to see 2) Tulowitzki figure out how to get back to his pre-Blue Jay self. That would be a mega-boost to the offense.
The Jays have won the 1st game in their series against division rivals the Boston Red Sox. The Jays have a 4-game win streak and a 4-series win streak that they’re trying to make 5. R. A. Dickey beat the Red Sox for the 1st time after 9 losses, and David Price lost to the Jays for the 1st time in 5 years.
Two home runs for the Jays by Edwin Encarnacion and the newly rehabilitated Devon Travis. Since Jose Bautista took lead off and Devon Travis came back, and with Troy Tulowitzki on the disabled list (DL), the Jays have been hot. Not smoking yet, but hot. That is without Bautista or Donaldson heating up.
What’s been the turning point? Well, Russell Martin’s been starting to hit after an abysmal 1st 3rd to the season. Ryan Goins who has been a cold hitter has been replaced by Travis. And Tulowitzki, who had been starting to warm up a bit before going on the DL, has been replaced with Barney who has been great defensively and getting timely hits offensively. That has turned the lineup around.
The starting pitching remains strong and Dickey’s getting stronger. Stroman however, has been wavering a bit. And the bullpen just got an infusion of strikeout skill with the acquisition of Jason Grilli, who has done just fine in 2 appearances.
Here’s hoping the team stays healthy and keeps it going! Today’s game starts at 4pm.
While Jose Bautista sat out his UNdeserved 1-game suspension, the Toronto Blue Jays, well, pretty much Josh Donaldson, overcame the AL East leading Boston Red Sox. A few defensive snaffoos but JD overcame those with 5 RBIs, 2 home runs and a double play off a line drive with the bases loaded. It was the 3rd time JD had 5+RBIs and the first time this season with a multi-home run game. Roberto Osuna remained the pillar of the Jays bullpen with a shutout 9th inning, his 11th save of the season.
Troy Tulowitzki had what are increasingly characteristic at bats with 3 strikeouts and an uncharacteristic overthrow to Justin Smoak at first base. He also got beaned up in the shoulder. The BoSox are a classy team though and you can see the catcher checking on Tulowitzki after the hit. I feel like Tulo plays better without the chip on his shoulder. He’s not a chip on the shoulder kind of guy as opposed to some of the other Blue Jay guys. Maybe if he lets that go a bit, he can do better.
Don’t worry, Bautista kept himself busy trying his hand at the PA in the 4th announcing Kevin ‘I can catch everything’ Pillar. And he attended the last game of the Toronto Raptors groundbreaking season with PK Subban.
How sad is this image? KLow gave it everything. What an amazing season. Let’s not forget the Raptors made it to the final 4 with the Warriors, Cavaliers and OKC!
Tonight’s game against the Texas Rangers was Jose Bautista’s 1000th game as a Blue Jay.
The Rangers got an early lead in the 2nd when catcher Bobby Wilson hit his 2nd grand slam ever. Estrada had a rough start. There was hope in the 5th but only 1 run scored and the Rangers got another in the 6th on a passed ball. It seemed that the game was lost, but in the top of the 9th, Jose Bautista hit a double. Justin Smoak then brought him in with a home run making the score 5-4. Then, Tulowitzki followed up with a solo shot over the fence, tying the game at 5-5.
Again, I thought the umping was crooked and inconsistent. Obviously I thought he was calling against the Jays more often then for the Rangers. Ezequiel Carrera was again disappointing in centre field.
AND, in the 10th, Drew Stubbs who is not a home run hitter, hits a home run off Gavin Floyd, beating the Jays 6-5 in extra innings.
Did you know…?
Sam Dyson actually started his Major League career in 2012 with the Toronto Blue Jays.
R. A. Dickey was drafted by the Texas Rangers 20 years ago!
Batting Average = the ratio of a batter’s safe hits per official times at bat = hits/at bats = H/AB.
Walks don’t count in the numerator or denominator. A season batting average over .300 is excellent. For non-pitchers, below .230 is poor, and below .200 is unacceptable. The level .200 is also called the Mendoza Line named after Mario Mendoza, a stellar defensive shortstop with offensive shortcomings (hmm, remind you of anyone?).
Sabermetrics, the study of baseball stats, considers Batting Average a weak measure because it doesn’t correlate well with runs scores, therefore isn’t a great predictor of performance. It doesn’t account for walks or power, as compared to On Base Percentage and Slugging Percentage as well as On-Base Plus Slugging (OPS).
Right now, Michael Saunders is in 9th place in the American League with a AVG of .328. Justin Smoak is the only other regular on the Jays who is over .300. ‘Joey’ Bautista is below .230 and ‘Tulo’ Tulowitzki, Russ Martin and ‘Go-Go’ Goins are all below .200.
The Blue Jay Team AVG of .235 places them 13th out of 15 teams in the AL. They are however 7th in Runs at 150.
Clearly, the offense is the greatest weakness right now and if not for the amazing starting pitching for the most part, the Jays would probably be dead last. But, maybe, just maybe, things are starting to warm up and if all the pieces can fall together, they are going to be awesome.
Ok, as you can see, I now have a Twitter feed. I have never used Twitter before, but I’m not your average bandwagon fan. Raptors lost in Miami unfortunately. Whenever the Raptors lose, the Jays win and vice versa.
Friday night’s game was a feel good game. The Jays shut out the Rangers 5-0. It was a game after which I let out a nice cleansing breath. 🙂
Edwin really does love May and homered one pulling him ahead of Joe Carter for all-time number of homers as a Blue Jay.
Tulowitzki haters were silenced by the 2-run shot, the 200th of his career, after Justin Smoak’s 2nd double.
Dickey picked off Odor at first. (I looove pick offs!) Dickey was really on tonight. Beltre almost hurt himself chasing the knuckleball.
It feels good to beat the Rangers doesn’t it? Especially Sam Dyson.
Tulowitz had a $20M a year game last night. Was it a tease or was it a turnaround? Only time will tell.
J. A. Happ almost pitched a complete game going 8 2/3! That means he got 20/21 outs and then got yanked.
The Jays win the series against the Giants. Can they make it a sweep?